Oct. 1, 2008 SDF Cloud Computing 1

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“I really don’t know clouds at all.” – Joni Mitchell

I’m writing this at the end of very busy day about cloud computing. I’m skeptical of buzzwords and hearing the term “cloud computing” is no different. Here are my immediate impressions of the event. There will be more specific information tomorrow.
Text from DJCline.com
The battle for controlling data shifts back and forth in historical cycles. In the 1960s people accessed mainframes from computer terminals. The applications they ran and the data they used were stored some other place, usually a clean room in the same building. By the 1980s personal computers stood alone and data was transferred by slow modem connections. The rise of the web in the 1990s led to a mix of network computing and desktop computing. The past decade has seen the rise of software as a service. The network connections are now so fast that it doesn’t matter if the data is stored in a closet down the hall or a server farm on the other side of the planet. Cloud computing is the idea of moving information quickly across any kind of network. Text from DJCline.com

The sheer amount of data we generate demands this kind of flexibility. Individuals and companies seldom back up their data. Putting it out on clouds makes sure it is not vulnerable to local catastrophe and still available. If you offer an application or service online and a million customers suddenly want to use it, clouds can help you scale up to demand. Of course, you will have to pay for this and that is where all these companies hope to make money.Text from DJCline.com

IBM Big Blue is in it in a big way with Blue Cloud. Amazon is a huge player with their S3 business larger than selling books. Hundreds of small startups are making specific plays. There are so many companies that there may be a cloud bubble that will burst by 2010. I wonder if there will be a bail out. Text from DJCline.com

The bubble may burst when people cannot easily move their data from cloud to another.
Another sign might be when there are a hundred companies and none of them are profitable.
The real turning point may be when the pendulum swings back from distributed to local data. People want to control their data whether it is on their own equipment or out on some network. Text from DJCline.com

Copyright 2008 DJ Cline All rights reserved.