Feb. 22, 2007 SDF Global Emerging Technology

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On February 22, 2007 at Morgan Lewis in Palo Alto, SDForum and the Women’s Technology Cluster presented the Global Emerging Technologies Conference. Panels of experts discussed disruptive emerging technologies and markets. There are opportunities from synthetic biology to pattern technology and from Shanghai to Sao Paolo. The first part of the conference dealt with emerging technologies.
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John Andrews of Evans Data opened with his keynote address Globalization now encourages innovation and competition from everywhere. To take advantage of possible disruptions we must recognize and act on these opportunities in security, strategic offshoring and green technologies. Gen X and Gen Y customers will drive customized design of digital appliances beyond the traditional desktop PC and toward a mobile experience.
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Peter Hallinan of Techcelerator moderated the first panel on what was happening in emerging technologies.

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Dr. Dianna L DeVore of Cambridge Antibody Technology is a legal expert in stem cells and biotech. The long time it takes to develop new drugs make it hard to have quick or sudden breakthroughs. Over the next ten years she expects the following developments to be important. RNA interference molecules, the ability to silence a gene, could stop a hepatitis gene from replicating or spreading through the body. The challenge is to deliver the molecules to silence the gene you want. Stem cell technology has actually been used for forty years in tissue regeneration like bone marrow transplants. The breakthrough will be in antibody therapeutics that can identify and modulate aspects of individual cells.

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Ann Ruckstuhl of the Center for Entrepreneurship (CEI) is an expert on B2B and E2B and E2C and C2C information management. She predicts that Software as a Service, virtualization, data mash-ups will be the next big things. There will continue to be growth in technology to gather store and analyze data. Moore’s Law applies to information management as well. In five years the cost of owning a PC will be half what it is today. Software as a service costs will decrease as well. The increase in large data centers around the world will drive down costs in off-peak local usage times. If your customers can find your business using GoogleMaps rather than you supplying them with your own mapping software, you are saved that development and delivery cost. The benefits of Web 2.0 will spread from consumers to enterprises. The demand for content on mobile devices will increase as seen with music and video content downloaded to cell phones. Sarbanes Oxley will require business to keep all sorts of information in searchable form for at least seven years, driving the need for more IT.

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Dr. Wen-Pai Lu of Silicon Valley China Wireless Tech Association is an expert on 802.10 standards and the IT radio access network. He believes the trend to more sophisticated cell phones and PDAs offering more services will increase as seen in Asia. Expect wireless network to cover not just whole cities, but whole countries. The demand for mobile network security will become acute. The United States needs to dramatically increase the size and speed of its wireless networks. In China there are mobile dating services. You fill out a profile on a service that will notify you if you are in the same area as a person who shares your interests. Mobile gambling will increase internationally. Enterprise opportunities will increase for mobile banking or bill paying.

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Mike Wolfe of Microsoft is an expert on security. Hackers are increasingly more sophisticated and the challenge is increasing all the time. Security features have to be designed into the system, work by default and by deployment. There has been a rise in targeted attacks toward companies and governments. The challenge will be to protect a system’s edge, network and host. He thinks technologies like virtualization and Web 3.0 will be disruptive to the way we do business and to security. There will be better and broader industry standards. He sees growth in more secure mobile devices.

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Samir Kaul of Khosla Ventures is an expert in green technology. Multiple interest groups are aligning for cleaner energy, farmers, environmentalists, national defense and energy security. He focused on biofuels and replacing coal with solar thermal technologies. There is a potential for 200 million gallons of ethanol a year with demonstration plants coming online generating one million gallons this year. The bigger challenge is to switch from coal to solar thermal around the world. Solar thermal heats water into steam too drive turbines for electricity. The challenge is store the energy until it is needed. He sees California as a major market because of peak pricing. The demand for electricity to power air conditioning is greatest when the sun is shining.

The second part of the conference dealt with emerging markets. See that tomorrow.
Copyright 2007 DJ Cline All rights reserved.